It's ok…
Now the mom will come… There we go. Hi Mama!
Hi, my name is Eldad, and I am the founder of Hope for Paws.
Hi, I am Loreta, and I am Eldad's partner at Hope for Paws.
Over the past 10 years, you've followed our rescue stories.
It started with Fiona, the senior blind poodle who's living on the streets,
through Miley, who was so sick and just lived on a pile of trash.
All the way to Jordan, who's so badly abused, and then thrown down to the LA River.
It's ok…
All these stories show how we have the power,
and you have the power to help us transform these lives.
Baby!
Got him by the leg. Oh my God.
I'm so excited to tell you about new fundraising tools,
allowing you to directly support us here on YouTube,
that will bring our community even closer.
Starting today,
the connection between us and your ability to help us
save more animals is just greater than ever.
At Hope for Paws, we provide the animals with the best medical care possible.
We use state-of-the art hospitals, emergency clinics,
and some of the best specialists in the country.
Because of our YouTube following, that is just so big and all over the world.
There is a very large misconception is that we get these services for free,
and this couldn't be farther from the truth.
Veterinary care is extremely expensive,
and the only way for us to continue saving these lives is with your help.
No rescue is like any other rescue.
Sometimes all it takes, is a loving, gentle approach.
Sometimes we have to improvise and use special equipment.
And sometimes it's hard to gain an animal's trust,
so we have to use a more extreme method.
Sometimes we have to crawl in sewers.
And sometimes we find ourselves crawling under houses.
Hello.
There are times we get called to go out of state,
and sometimes even out of the country.
We get a phone call or a text message, and we go.
When Loreta and I arrived in South Carolina,
we really learned the power of the community.
Hermione is a black lab who stepped into a coyote trap.
Rescuers tried to catch her for five days,
and they didn't succeed. Thanks to an amazing community-
all the way to the fence!
we were able to rescue Hermione in 37 seconds.
I got her! Wait, wait, wait…
Good girl…Ok.
One, two, three…
Thank you everybody. I owe you forever!
pull it…awesome.
The lucky leash, is the leash we're using in all our rescues.
Everybody knows it.
When the lucky leash comes out,
their life is going to be changed forever.
You can sense that moment,
where a dog goes from being so scared,
to the moment that they realize they can trust us, and they relax.
It's just a sigh of relief for the dog.
You can actually feel it,
you can feel it, you can see it and hear it.
And I've done it thousands of times, and every time it's amazing,
because it's such a key moment for the dog,
because they know that their lives are safe.
The whole strength of Hope for Paws, is really because of YouTube,
because we were able to capture these stories
and tell it to so many people all over the world,
we're talking about hundreds of millions of people.
And now we're given the opportunity to work with this new feature,
that will really help you as a viewer to send us on the next rescue mission,
and the next rescue mission.
We wouldn't be able to do any of this without your help.
It's ok. Hope for Paws is here.
It's one thing to hope, but you also have to make it happen.
If every viewer will just give us a small donation,
together we'll be able to save so many more lives.
Good job!
It's so important to understand the direct correlation between
the amount of funds that we're able to raise,
with the amount of animals we're able to save.
Your generous donations help us save animals from desperate situations,
not only in California, but also out of state, and even out of the country.
I'm really hoping that you will all participate with a donation of any size.
By doing so, you will help us give hope to so many more animals.
Please press the donate button, and join our team, and give hope for more paws.
For more infomation >> In search of hope for the hopeless. - Duration: 4:58.-------------------------------------------
GAT Shield: See Who Violated Your Domain's Usage Rules - Duration: 1:17.
In the Shield Alerts section of GAT
Shield you can view all the instances
where your users have violated any Alert
Rules. To know how to create an alert
rule you can watch our video covering
the topic linked in the description. In
the Alerts Explorer you can view a
list of all the times a rule was
violated. You can see data such as the
Rule name, the Rule type, Page info if it was
a URL visit, how long ago the Rule was
violated, the User who violated the rule
and whether the Status of the alert was
still open or acknowledged by an Admin.
Clicking the check mark will change the
status indicator to a green Acknowledged
status. This is so you can let other
Administrators on your domain know the
alert was investigated. By clicking the
eye icon you can get all the details of
that alert as well as the admin who
acknowledged it. Device information such
as the rule violators shield UUID, OS, IP
details and location information is also
available in this area. Don't forget to
go to our website to get a free 15 day
trial of GAT+.
If you enjoyed this
how-to please give it a thumbs up and
subscribe. Make sure to turn on the bell
so you never miss a video and let us
know in the comments what you would like
to see from us in the future. That
concludes this GAT Shield how-to. Thank
you for watching.
-------------------------------------------
Like A Boss//Funny with Music of 2018 Collection! #7 - Duration: 6:07.
For more infomation >> Like A Boss//Funny with Music of 2018 Collection! #7 - Duration: 6:07. -------------------------------------------
How To Get Help With Money Problems - Duration: 15:26.
Would you like to get some help with those money problems? Well, watch this
video and learn what steps to take next.
People don't talk about money, they really don't. They talk about... The only
thing to talk about is they wish that they had more of it or they complain
that they don't have enough. But they don't really talk about how they earn
their money and the thought process, the emotional management and their behavior.
They don't talk about it. I mean, how many times do you go over to Sunday family
dinner and everybody is sharing how they're earning their money? It just
doesn't happen. 8 out of 10 people struggle with
money in the United States. That's just the United States. Ain't that... Now,
realistically, it's probably 9. But you're probably not going to believe that.
But like let's just say between 8 and 9. But but literally, 89% of
people are struggling with money and I'll tell you why, is because we don't
talk about it and we don't discuss the ways in which a person can earn
money. The only way that we talk about is go get a job. "Hey, go get a job. Oh, you
want more money? Go get a job." And we act like that's the only answer, the perfect
answer. And that every else is supposed to know what that means to go get a job.
What if it's not a job issue? What if it has to do with the way that you think
about money? What if it has to do with the way you feel about money? What if it
has to do with literally your behavior towards money? I think those are really
the root problems. It's not the job situation. But this is not a conversation
that people have. They still struggle with it. So, what do people do
with money? Well, what you do is you usually do what your parents did. Or if
you're not doing what your parents did, you're doing what you think you should
do or act or feel about money. Which is probably a very elementary level
education when it comes to money. So, you got money problems? It makes sense. You're
not alone either. There's 10 people standing in a room. You're one of the
9 people out of the 10 that's struggling. There's a whole tribe of
people struggling with this. So, let's talk about what you can do to switch
this and change this, so your money challenges can literally start to
changed today. Not tomorrow, next week. Let's do something right now.
Now, notice right here. I brought up really where the problems are is in
thinking. How you feel about money and literally how you behave about money. Now,
here's what I notice is a person who does not think positively about money,
doesn't have money. So, if you, if you don't have positive thinking in your
head like, "You know, I'm going to find a way to earn money, provide a service and
and do something good for people so I can get paid." If you're not thinking that
way and you're thinking, "Oh, I just hate money. Money is my problem." You're going to
have a lot of challenges. Most people are very emotionally piled up in a bunch of
garbage emotions towards money because of past experiences, because of current
situations that they don't have enough. But this is where you start, it's got to
start where money is on your mind in a positive way. That you're going to learn
literally how to do better with money. Now, let's let's look at that. I don't
want to just pretend like you know what that looks like. But seriously, one of the
first things you want to do is get into studying money. Oh, look the wind is
coming up. Maybe I'm not done with this page, right? Watch this, I'm going to make it
stick. Let's see if that holds it. Okay. So, what happens here is if you want
to be good at something, you study it. You know if somebody wants to be a dentist,
you go to dentistry school. Is that how you say that? You want to be a doctor, you go
study how to be a doctor. You want to be an architect, you go to architect school.
If you want to be a landscaper, if you want to be an interior designer, you take
classes on that particular topic. And so, you get thinking about it. Your emotions
are good about it, your behavior about it because you're studying, you're acting it
out. You're practicing it. So, if you want to be good at money, you got to study it.
Does that just make sense? And this is... I ask people, you know who are struggling
with money? I go, so what book are you currently reading about
money? "Oh, I don't have books I read about money." Okay, what class are you taking
about money? "I don't have a class about money?" Who are you learning from about
money? "Well, I don't have a person." So, it's really fascinating but I was in the
same place, too. I wasn't studying about it, I wasn't
reading, I wasn't listening to people, I wasn't going to classes about it. And now,
I was in that place of struggling about money. So, I get it. But let's stop the
madness. And really, you got to dive into this. So, what does this look like? Get a
book, get somebody to fall... Wait, I think that's one of my next one. Get a coach.
What? And who's the coach? What kind of person do you choose to coach on money?
Somebody who has money. I know it... I'm giggling about this but I've met
people who are struggling with money and I say, "Are you are you working with
somebody on this?" And they go, "Yeah." I said, "Do they have money?" "No, they're kind of
wrestling with the two." Well who are these people?
"Oh, it's my parents." So, you're asking your parents to teach you about money but
they don't have money? Well, how? Wait a second. You find
somebody who has money. You find somebody who's successful. And you either pay them
to coach you or you know find a way to trade services for them to teach you.
But you got to study this. Literally go get a book about money.
You go get on Amazon, go get something, get on somewhere and get a book. Go
downtown to a store that sells books. Get books on money and start reading about
money. It's got to be a topic not an issue. Turn money into a topic, turn it
into a career, turn it into a job, turn it into a talent, turn it into a skill. Just
like learning how to, you know, be a dentist. Learn how to manage money and
have money. If you turn it into a topic, a job, a skill an ability, you're going to get
good at it. That's the reason why people struggle. It's reason why you are
struggling with money is because your education on
money is low. So, this is all head. This is all your head is the, you know, the
education site. But also know, when it comes to this about money,
you also got feelings about money, right? And I'll share with you the best way you
can work through emotions about money is to start journaling about how you feel
about money. You got to get all those emotions out. Easy, easy way to manage
emotions about money is to journal about money. Okay, so you're going to get a book or
go to a class. "But Kirk, I don't have money to go to that." Okay, just get
books. Get a book. Get it on audio, get it some thing to read. But get reading books. If you
if you're not reading a book at least once a month about money,
you are not improving your money experience. You are going to continue to
struggle if you don't raise your education. What books did you read? Any
book about money. Get money on your brain. It doesn't turn you into a bad person. It
turns you into a smart person. I don't know where it started but for some
reason, people in this world think and they think, "Well, if I think about
money, I'm a bad person." No, if you think about money, you can pay your bills. You
can pay your bills, you're not going to be in debt and you can help other people.
You can help build stuff when you have money. Get money on the brain. And
that you can do today right now. Get yourself a book. Get reading, so you have
it on your mind and you can start to learn how money works. And go find somebody. You
don't have to always pay somebody to do that. Okay, the other thing got to learn
about money is how you're spending it and how you're earning it. Are you
tracking your money? Are you tracking it? Or do you avoid looking at the bank
account? If you're not tracking whatever you're doing, if you're not tracking, you
have no clue how to improve it. No clue. People who don't track their money, they
just impulse buy all the time. Impulse buy, impulse buy. But tracking your
money gives you the power to delay that impulse moment. And even gives you the
power to say "no." Because you know where
you balance is. You know what's coming in, you
know what goes out. You know what your spending habits are. And it gives you the
power to delay and gives you the power say "no." But if you're not tracking, you
don't know anything. And so, you're always going to say "yes" and "I guess so" and "Maybe,
we can make this up later." And you're going to struggle with money because
you're not tracking it. And you don't have the power to delay and you don't
have the power to say no. You got to track it. So, get a book find somebody to follow. I
bet you could find somebody who's a money guru. I'm not going to be your money
guru. Right now, what I'm doing is I'm helping you just like realize, you got to
do something about this right now. So, book somebody to follow who's talking
about money all the time and he was really good at this and that they
literally have all the steps and everything. And I got steps about how I
changed my money stuff. And you can find my other YouTube videos about this. But
there's lots of people you can learn from on this. And then get the power
inside you to delay the purchase or say no to the purchase. But you won't have
that power until you get into tracking your money. And if you're like, "Oh, but
it's such a mess, it's so hard." Okay, don't do it and you'll stay in your problems.
Okay, next one is. Another reason why people have money problems is because
they can't enjoy what they have right now. Whatever you have, whatever house,
whatever car, whatever clothes, whatever you got going on your life right now. If
you can't enjoy what you have right now, you're always thinking about what you're
going to buy next. You're getting pleasure out of purchasing things. You're not
getting pleasure from experiencing things. And that's something you got to
switch. You got to switch that like going wait a second, I got to slow down and
enjoy exactly what I have. Be happy with what you got. So, you're not always into
getting a zing out of purchasing something. Because you, the over purchaser
kind of person, you get this big zing out of buy-in something. And it's not about
the pleasure of having the thing or enjoying the experience. You just like, "Oh,
I want to go buy something. I just want open the next package. I just want to get
the next new thing." And I watch people get themselves into money problems every
week. Because they just want the zing from the purchase. Instead of enjoying
what they currently have. It's like, I have a cell phone, right? And I can't tell
you how many people are like, "Oh, you don't have the new cell phone?" It's like,
my phone works. I push the button, it works. And my apps work. My screen size is
totally fine. And I hear people who will say to me they'll go, "But you got to get
the next phone." I'm like, "I don't need to spend $1,000.
I've just been $500." And they've gone through 3 or 4 new phones
and I still have my same phone. And it still works. And they've spent hundreds
even up to the thousands of dollars on a new phone. And it's like, you could have
used that money for something else. And they still have the same buttons to push,
maybe their screen is a little bit bigger but I don't know. It's like, come
on. Go on, be careful people. Some people get really hooked in on the zing of the
purchase. The new thing. Because it's fun and exciting. And that is a trick that
will cause you to be in money problems for the rest of your life, is you can't
have joy... If you can't have joy in experiencing the here and now,
you're going to stay in debt. Because buying is a false sense of joy. The "new
thing" is a false sense of joy. It's a false sense of joy. And if you're
constantly thinking the next new thing, the next new thing is going to bring joy to
you, you are going to be broke. Because you cannot buy happiness. Happiness is
enjoying the moment with whatever you got, And you'd be able to enjoy it. Be
able to enjoy it. The last one here, be able to help you with getting out of
your money problems here is literally you need to learn a new skill. How you to
expect to be able to earn more money or have an advancement in the company you
work for or get hired into that next job? Or maybe you want to be an entrepreneur,
maybe you want to like start your own business. You got to get into the whole
new market like, you got to add some skills to you. Presentation skills is a
must for life today. Presentation skills. Getting up in front of people. Talking to
people. But presentation skills, coaching or
mentoring skills, any type of specific industry skill but go get a new skill.
And I've been seeing billboards lately on the freeway that show that, "Hey, you
want earn more money? Get a new skill." Makes sense, doesn't it? If the skill you
had been using is not in demand anymore, you need to go learn some new skills. And
hey, here's something to think about for the future. Our skill level has to change.
We've got to adapt to what's going on in the world today. And so, go learn some new
skills and stop having a pity party that you don't have enough money. Money does
not come to people who have pity parties. Get a book get it in your head. Journal
about how you feel about emotions. So you can unload those emotions about money.
Get somebody to follow. Seriously, get the power so you can delay and say
no because you're tracking your money. Enjoy what you have. Get yourself a new
skill. So, that your money problems can stop today. But of all of these, of all of
these that you can do right now in the next 24 hours. Get a book and get your
head thinking that there is a chance to change your money problems. If you can't
think it and it's not in your head, it's not going to change. That's the big one
right there. Study about money. Hey, money problems are only a step away from being
solved. Remember, it take some action on what you learned here. And another action to take,
click Subscribe. Stay connected to us because this is some valuable content.
-------------------------------------------
Diabetic Alert Dog Feature: Olivia's Story - Duration: 3:39.
(melodic music)
- I have Type 1 diabetes.
When my sugar is low I have to eat something sweet
and when my sugar is high I have to drink a lot of water.
I get insulin, I prick my finger.
- Doctors, you know, wanted to put her on an insulin pump
to detect her sugar and she wasn't really fond
of all the machines and the gadgets
that they wanted to give her, so that was hard.
Just seeing her trying to cope with it.
You know at Olivia's age at seven years old
you really don't know when your sugar level's gonna drop
or even what it feels like.
Playing around on the playground, running around in the heat
know what that feels like is just a normal 10 seconds
to them, but to her it can be the last 10 seconds.
- Oliver is our Type 1 diabetes service alert dog.
When Oliver was placed with us
from SDWR it was a great match.
Honestly, when the trainer from SDWR came here
to visit us one time with the dogs,
when she was selecting Oliver, she picked somebody
that she knew would be perfect for Olivia
because Olivia was very scared, wasn't around dogs a lot,
and knew that he would be the best one
because of his personality
and we can't get any better than Oliver and Olivia.
(laughs)
You really can't.
Oliver helps with Olivia's diabetes in so many ways.
You know being in the yard and having friends over,
swimming, Oliver will alert us to anything
that he feels is not safe for Olivia with her blood sugars.
- When my sugar's low he smells the nail polish remover
and when my sugar's like high he smells cotton candy.
- [John] It's two different smells to him
so he knows which one is which.
- [Melissa] He's called us a couple of times
where her sugars went low and he came and got us.
He barks and he will paw us until we respond to him.
- [John] When Oliver's not Oliver,
we know something's wrong with our daughter.
Having Oliver there really helps us.
It's kinda like a relief that someone else
is kinda helping us monitor Olivia.
- [Olivia] He makes me safe when I'm playing,
like someone's there.
- [John] When she's in the pool, she's on the meter also
and it doesn't register.
- [Melissa] Olivia was swimming in the pool
and Oliver was alerting.
He was barking and barking
and we checked Olivia's sugar and she was 200.
So we never thought anything of it, you know, she's okay.
So within like 10 minutes Oliver kept going
so we checked it again and Olivia's sugar was 69
and her mood changed within seconds.
She became agitated and her sugar was low.
He was alerting us 20 minutes before she dropped
that she was going down and we had no idea.
- [John] You know having him as a family pet
is a blessing and now knowing that he watches over Olivia,
you know he's always with her and next to her.
My other kids love him.
- [Melissa] Oliver has brought so much love
and security to us.
I don't know what I would do without him.
You know he helps Olivia,
but he's also a family dog for our kids and my husband.
- [Olivia] We go on the trampoline, go to the park.
He's good at like, I say go fetch
and he gets the ball and bring it back.
- [Melissa] He takes walks with us.
He runs, he'll go on bike rides sometimes with us.
He's done everything with us.
- [John] He's playful and lovable.
He listens, very cuddly.
He's just a real big love bug.
He's a good dog, man.
A real good dog.
(melodic music)
-------------------------------------------
yOu rAn oUt oF CaSh - Duration: 0:08.
"Spend all your money,"
"-You ran out of cash."
"-Now do everyone a favor, and get lost."
L O S E R
-------------------------------------------
How baby names can help break through genealogical brick walls - Duration: 3:14.
Onomastics or cultural naming conventions can yield genealogical clues that may lead
you to previous generations.
My first examples come from David Hackett Fischer's Albion's Seed, which is a long,
dense but surprisingly accessible book on Colonial American cultural traditions.
The most useful naming convention from a genealogically perspective is the colonial Virginian custom
of using a mother's maiden name as a forename for sons—for example, the son of Joseph
Chew and Ruth Larkin was named Larkin Chew.
Anytime you see an odd forename in Virginia, look for people from the same place with that
odd forename as a surname, and you may very well get closer to the maternal line.
Virginians also typically named their first-born son after their paternal grandfather, and
the second-born son after the father.
In some families, you'll see that pattern repeated for generations.
Scotch-Irish tended to follow the same pattern, naming the first-born son after the paternal
grandfather, and the second- or third-born son after the father.
They preferred different names than Virginians, but the pattern was the same.
Quakers followed the pattern of "honoring the mother's father and the father's mother"
by naming the first-born daughter and son after those individuals.
While it wasn't a 100% thing, if you know you're looking at the eldest son and have
a maiden name for the mother, you probably know the maternal grandfather's name.
New England Puritans don't have as helpful patterns, however.
They often named the first-born son after his father, and the first-born daughter after her mother
If you've figure out birth order, you've probably already worked out who the parents were.
Puritans embraced necronyms or naming a newborn after a deceased sibling.
Fischer notes that 80% of the time a child died, the next child born of the same sex
was given the name of the deceased child.
That won't help you break through brick walls, but it will help you avoid the mistake
of thinking you have two families with identically named kids born in different years.
Puritans also had the singular practice of closing their eyes, pointing to a page in
the bible, and naming their child after that word. I got "palatial."
That's why you'll see names such as Thankful, Wrestling and Notwithstanding.
The best of these, or perhaps the most unfortunate, is the poor woman named Fly-Fornication.
Moving to the Catholic tradition, there are two important naming conventions.
The first is that of naming a child based on the Saint's day the child was baptized
or born on.
This generally isn't very useful genealogically, as there are multiple calendars of Saint's
Days, and many of the saints had similar names.
The second is naming a child after a godparent, and this also applies to Lutherans and other
sects that follow this tradition.
The naming by itself isn't particularly important, but the godparent is.
Being a godparent was not a casual matter: that person was supposed to take an important
role in the child's life, especially their spiritual life, so godparents were almost
always close friends or family members.
That means you should always take a close look at the sponsors on a baptismal record
for potential family members.
-------------------------------------------
What you missed this morning: How much would it take to take the name of a restaurant "character"? - Duration: 0:57.
For more infomation >> What you missed this morning: How much would it take to take the name of a restaurant "character"? - Duration: 0:57. -------------------------------------------
Giving Up | Economics and Motivation - Duration: 6:31.
what is up guys today I'm going to be
talking about giving up something that
I'm sure that all of us have experienced
but I'm also going to be sharing my
mental thoughts and processes that I've
had as I was trying to overcome my
tendencies of giving up so maybe I'll
even say something that will motivate
you or that you can relate with but
either way let's get it started so
giving up it's something that a lot of
us have felt we've done we've
experienced but I want to talk about
something specific for me about four
years ago I gave up on myself and I gave
up a part of who I am and who I was in
order to focus on something else and you
know at that time I thought that was the
right thing to do you know it's time to
grow up almost and give up some things
about myself in order to follow and
pursue another thing but it took me
until now to realize that that's not how
it has to be and being limited in life
is one of the things that I strive not
to experience let me give you an example
after I graduated from high school I
thought it was time for me to buckle
down and focus on one thing and that was
it and for me if you don't know I
study physics and math at my
university right now and yes I'm really
passionate about learning especially
with those types of things but I gave up
parts of me in order to follow that
lifestyle and maybe that's logical to
some people but to me that just seems
harmful and I don't want to live my life
thinking what if I had not done that
when I
younger so yes these four years I have
pushed a part of me away but I am glad
that I've awakened to myself to realize
that it's not too late to find myself
again and this is very important because
being able to follow your heart and
chase your dreams is something that a
lot of us give up unfortunately but I
believe that we are meant to as people
grow in other ways and not just one and
I've actually even referenced this in a
past video that I made it I'll leave an
i-icon on top here so you guys can check
it out but I'm saying similar or
referencing a similar thing basically to
help achieve more happiness in our life
and it's important to remember that we
are allowed to have several passions and
to not give them up and to not give up
on those and to not give up on those
parts of us maybe that's something that
you haven't experienced before but I am
sure that you have at least been tempted
to give up on something now you need to
remember that motivation is mental
meaning if we strengthen our mentality
we will be able to motivate ourselves on
our own without looking for people like
me or watching other videos or movies
even to motivate ourselves but instead
with our mental capabilities we'll be
able to motivate ourselves and to give
you this foundation is exactly why I'm
here now let's get technical if you
haven't taken economics before there's
something called the sunk cost fallacy
and I use this idea of the sunk cost
fallacy to motivate myself to not give
up so let me give you an idea of what
the sunk cost fallacy is basically
pretend I have a movie ticket okay and
now let's say that I lose the movie
ticket do I buy the ticket again or do I
not buy the ticket and not see the movie
and what the sunk cost fallacy says is
that since I bought the movie ticket the
first time I should therefore buy the
movie ticket a second time because I've
already spent the money to buy it the
first time and it doesn't matter how
many times I lose the ticket I should
buy a new ticket every
time after I lose it now of course this
doesn't just have to be for a movie
ticket we can use this idea for a lot of
life situations such as reading a book
working out school you name it the idea
is that we've already put forth the time
and effort into starting this project so
in order to get the benefits of it
completely
we'll have to therefore finish the
project otherwise you've wasted all that
time and effort and this can actually
also be related to you watching this
video if you've only watched the video
up to this point it's actually to your
benefit to continue watching all the way
to the end and leave a like so that you
can gain all of the benefits that you
can from this video otherwise you're
just wasting your time and effort that
you've already put in up to this point
again so no matter what project it is
whether it's for school for something
personal or even exercising and working
out what so be it
since you've already started the project
it is to your benefit to continue the
project or finish it if you can and this
is all from the sunk cost fallacy this
is just one simple idea that you can use
and implement into your brain so that it
can help motivate you and get you to no
longer give up on things
remember motivation is mental and once
you are able to control your mentality
you will be able to strive as a person
and that is the whole point of my
channel to motivate you to push yourself
and get better and better every single
day every week in order to improve your
mentality and your ability to live
extraordinary which is something that I
push for in every single video if you
made it all the way to the end of this
video go ahead and hit the subscribe and
the like button because I make videos
like this every single Thursday in order
to help you get better at this but
remember living extraordinary is
completely subjective meaning that you
have the ability to define it yourself
but I'm here to give you the foundation
that you need in order for you to do
that so with that I'll see you next time
-------------------------------------------
Andrew Baxter - Why you must protect your Intellectual Property now - Duration: 0:55.
It's a good idea to do these things early on because you might have a
trademark and then you build up your business and you suddenly discover that
someone else has registered that and they might come to you and stop you from
using the trademark that you're trying to use. Or alternatively
if you're trying to sell your business later on and you haven't
got the trademark registered there's less value in it, so there's a good value
in having your trademarks registered and protected. It stops other people from
copying your products as well, or it encourages them not to copy your
products, but it also gives you the advantage that if you are trying to stop
them you have something which is officially registered. So, it's the same
with all your Intellectual Property.
-------------------------------------------
Asthma Attack | When to Go to the E.R. - Duration: 2:01.
We're going to talk about what happens when
you come to the emergency department with an asthma exacerbation, and by
exacerbation I mean a flare-up or worsening of your typical asthma symptoms.
First, prior to ever coming, you should have a conversation with your child's doctor about their asthma
and when they should come to the emergency department. Hopefully, if your child has a
diagnosis of asthma, they should have what's called an asthma action plan
which is a document given to you by your regular doctor or your pulmonologist
that describes what to do when they're having different asthma symptoms.
Somewhere on that plan should be what happens if they have an exacerbation and
need to come to the emergency department.
If you get to a point where you feel like your child needs emergency care for
their asthma definitely come right in because asthma can get pretty bad pretty
quickly. You don't want to wait if they're having symptoms. Once you get to
the emergency department with asthma, what typically happens? They'll be put in
a room like any other emergency patient. Their vital signs will be taken and they
may be asked to do something specific to asthma such as pulmonary function
testing where they blow into a tube and different things are measured. They'll
most likely be given a breathing treatment right away unless they just
had one at home. They'll probably be given a steroid medicine, Prednisone or
Orapred, unless they just had that at home. Depending on how severe their
asthma exacerbation is, they'll likely be given more breathing treatments and they
may even need some additional medications either by mouth or through
an IV. If their asthma exacerbation is not getting better pretty quickly in the
emergency department, then they will have to stay in the hospital overnight or
perhaps even longer, so if you're coming to the emergency department with asthma,
consider that you may have to stay overnight in the hospital and be
prepared for that. If you ever have any questions about whether or not to come
to the emergency department, you can always call your doctor's helpline and
speak to registered nurses about that, but if you're ever in doubt just come to
the emergency department where we see a lot of asthma and are always very
prepared to take care of that.
-------------------------------------------
Princesses At Masquerade | Dress Up Game for Girls - Duration: 5:05.
For more infomation >> Princesses At Masquerade | Dress Up Game for Girls - Duration: 5:05. -------------------------------------------
How To Set Up Billing: Printful Tutorial 2018 - Duration: 6:40.
If you're creating a manual order with Printful - for example, ordering a t-shirt for yourself
- you simply pay at the end of the order process and the order goes through.
But if you have a store connected with Printful, there are two transactions that take place.
First up, your customer places an order from your store and pays you using your store's
payment platform.
For example, they buy a t-shirt from your store for $20.
Secondly, The order comes through to us from your synced store and we bill you through
your connected payment method for fulfillment and shipping for that order.
For example, the fulfillment for the t-shirt your customer bought, let's say $15.
Remember that these are separate transactions, your customer paying for the product happens
on your store's end and you being billed for fulfillment happens in Printful.
Note that your orders will not be fulfilled unless they've been paid for on Printful.
So, how do you pay Printful?
All transactions go through your Printful Wallet that's created once you sign up with
Printful.
This helps to ensure quicker payment processing and fewer transaction errors.
Note that our transactions take place in US Dollars, even if your stores currency is a
different one.
But there are a couple of ways you can set up your billing system.
We'll go through them in this video.
In your Printful dashboard, head up here to "billing" and you're taken to your account
billing page.
You can find your Printful wallet here on the side menu.
Now There are 2 ways you can set up your payment system.
You can set up a primary billing method.
This means - you add a credit card or a paypal account to your Printful account.
Each time an order comes through, your credit card or paypal will be billed, the money will
be deposited to your Printful wallet and withdrawn from there to pay for fulfillment of that
order.
For example, a customer buys a t-shirt from your store and the fulfillment cost for this
t-shirt is $15.
This amount then gets charged from the credit card or paypal you've registered with Printful,
then deposited to your Printful wallet and withdrawn from there to pay for the order
fulfillment.
So in this case your payment history for this order will be reflected as two seperate transactions
- the amount that is deposited to your Printful wallet from your registered credit card or
paypal and then the same amount withdrawn from your Printful Wallet to pay for fulfilling
this order.
_ To set up a primary billing method, choose
"Billing methods" from the side menu.
And here you can add new billing method.
You can also add multiple billing methods and set the primary one for your account.
If you've added multiple billing methods, you can later on change the primary one.
For example, I have my paypal account set here as the primary billing method, but I
want to change it to the credit card I've added, so I choose "set as primary" here
and the settings have been updated - now this credit card will be billed for all incoming
orders.
If you have multiple stores connected to Printful and multiple account billing methods set,
here under "Store billing methods", you have the option of manually selecting a specific
billing method for each store.
Let's say, I want orders coming from this store to be billed through my paypal, so I
choose the paypal account from this dropdown here.
And, as you can see the account primary billing method does not change, it stays the same
for the other store here, but for this store, the billing method is changed to the paypal
account we just selected.
The other way to set up billing is to manually deposit money directly to your Printful wallet
either by credit card or paypal.
This way you add a certain amount of money to your wallet.
Then, each time an order comes through, the fulfillment cost for this order will be withdrawn
from your your wallet.
And in this case your billing history will include - the amount you manually deposited
to your Printful wallet and payments for each order fulfillment withdrawn from there.
So, to make a direct deposit go to "Printful Wallet" from the side menu here and choose
the "add money button" here.
And now you can enter a certain amount of money you would like to deposit to your wallet.
Let's say I want to add $100, so I set the amount here and fill in all the details necessary.
This is a manual one-time process and the credit card or paypal you use to deposit money
to your wallet through this process won't be automatically saved as a billing method.
But here, by checking this box, you have the option to save it, meaning that for example,
this credit card will be saved to your account billing methods.
Note that if your Printful wallet is empty and you haven't set a primary billing method
- your orders won't go through and will show up as "failed" until you've manually
approved and paid for them.
Now, I want to save this billing method, so let's check this box here and hit "add
money".
As you can see the Printful wallet balance now is $100.
If you choose to not set a primary billing method, but add money manually, make sure
to monitor your Printful Wallet balance, so there's enough money to pay for your order
fulfillment.
If you HAVE set up a primary billing method you can also use the 'auto recharge' feature
for your Printful wallet.
This is to make sure that there's always money in your Printful wallet and is a good
option if you don't want to see as many transactions on your card statement.
Each time your Printful Wallet does not have enough money to pay for an order fulfillment,
the amount you set here will be deposited to your wallet from your primary billing method.
For example, let's set it to recharge for $100.
So now, in a case if my Printful Wallet balance is $7, but and order with a $15 fulfillment
fee comes in, $100 will be automatically deposited to my Printful Wallet.
You also have the option to withdraw money from your Printful wallet here.Note that this
process is instant for PayPal, but for credit card transactions it might take 3-5 business
days for the money to be transferred back to a bank account.
Remember that all refunds you receive for orders will be first deposited to your Printful
Wallet and then can be withdrawn from there.
You can view all your Printful account transactions in the "Payment history" tab.
Here, if you have multiple stores, you can choose which stores payment history you want
to view and the date range.
Search for a specific order as well as apply filters, for example, select to see a specific
payment method, transaction type or order status.
And you can also download your payment history reports here.
In your account billing settings you have the option to submit a resale certificate,
if you're eligible for one, as well as submit a VAT ID if necessary.
And check whether you're eligible for a volume discount here.
Make sure you go through our billing FAQ carefully.
And also watch our video tutorials on related topics like taxes, shipping or VAT.
You can find all of them on our Youtube channel.
-------------------------------------------
Before You Get Engaged.....WATCH THIS | Behind the Scenes & Planning | HimHerHisLove - Duration: 13:01.
it was almost like God planned it to be
that way so he made all my other plans
not working on purpose just when God has
a plan you'll make it work oh he like
made all my other plans fail so and it
just so happened that that's where I met
her that's where I was told that she was
going to be my life like that's where
they kind of all originated from so it
was just dots and that's where I was
supposed to be
welcome you guys to another HimHerHisLove
love we are doing a very special special
special special video for clearly my
request only cuz Josh is not having it I
want him to tell you guys everything
that he went through during the
engagement process because you know if
you leave you just kind of get surprised
or show up and it just kind of happens
to us we really don't know all the
behind the scenes of what goes into a
guy planning this romantic life-changing
moment so I wanted to get his take in
telling you guys a little bit about what
went into our engagement if you have not
seen our engagement video go like that
so you know exactly what we're talking
about yes go watch our kitchen we don't
actually post a little link right here
you can click back to if you want to see
our engagement video so you know what
we're talking about and everything that
this guy had to go through to pull off
such a big surprise especially for
someone like me who is so on top of it
and it's like what you doing what are
you doing I was gonna like we're gonna
be a bunch of surprising takes a lot of
work so okay so when asked the question
series then go for it I want to know
well how long have you been saving for
every tooth been saving for
seriously I love it yeah um so almost a
year really so use new yep just new save
save save save if you need to hook up
yeah you see that I can't tell you all
the details but if you don't tell me all
the details in you you don't something
like how much just love anything like
that so how did you end up picking the
spot that you chose or why did you pick
the spot that you just so I originally
had one two three the other ideas or
venues first I was going to do a
Disneyland then I started looking at
packages on busy man like that is not
for what they offer and I'm sorry if you
did do it babe congratulation
but yeah offering and I wanted everybody
to enjoy in the engagement or the
engagement asking OH
the proposal baby yeah he's asking in
the proposal that wasn't going to be
feasible especially because that all
people will have a hundred dollars to
spend and Disneyland in this expensive
yeah and I'm not paying that dollars for
everybody so yeah that wasn't gonna be
feasible uh gave me that a lot of people
a lot of people I think at least a lot
of people were they were already there
yeah so then my second idea was Magic
Mountain you asked me about it so I did
scratch that
yeah we were one of those Mountain one
day he said babe are you gonna propose
me
I wasn't not anymore but I still kind of
looked into it so I hit up one of my
friends and asked her if they do that
and she said they should be able to
change Orabrush bones and then I called
them and I got two different answers so
I kind of wanted this to go off flawless
oh yeah you give me two conflicting
answers doesn't work for me um so my
third idea you got a head I'm gonna let
you go now have backups upon backups
about Mack be well-prepared so my third
option was this place called sky pink
sky space in downtown LA it's like this
really big giant slide lifts up videos
and stuff for it and because I'm be like
super dope but they don't offer that
much stuff so and I would have known has
he pulled up to that place I've been
like oh you've been asking yeah yeah so
yeah I don't wanna be's on this not that
obvious so I was like running now I'm
starting to run out of ideas
cuz I've gone through three so sort of
running out of ideas I was sitting at
breakfast with my mom and sister after
my birthday okay yeah and for my
birthday and just trying to go over
ideas on what I could do and they
suggested first this is just like
karaoke to do it at it Carrie remember
what to karaoke
that one night so yeah oh well you
should have at karaoke and then do a
song and then and the songs over propose
like yeah I was looking at some YouTube
videos on how they did it and it just
didn't look bad so I was like yeah yeah
let's experiment
dancing anyway hey you want to see a
video of Josh singing at karaoke
I got you check the link right there
like so they suggested what about church
that's so I kind of move but why church
is it because that's where we met or it
just it just happened Church because a
it was almost like I planned it to be
that way
so he made all my other plans not
working on purpose just when God has a
plan you'll make it work oh he like made
all my other plans fail so and it just
so happened that that's where I met her
that's where I was told that she was
gonna be my life like that's where it
kind of all originated from so it was
just godsend
that's more of a supposed to be it was
so good he had a lot of people enough
how did you he's told people like the
ready toes Bears let's talk about the
people being there know how they ended
up at the church without me knowing cuz
so make one kind of family was there you
didn't fool my mom and from the east
coast to witness it and I had no idea
this you what is art well under dance
yeah so he flew like so like a lot went
oh I wouldn't do it but how did you hide
everybody because I had no idea so the
way our church just said that by the way
we go to the lira
but the way our church is set up is you
look at the entrance door then there's a
side door for the kids Church before you
hit me main centuary yeah so I had my
mom my stepdad and one of the friends
from church be on lookout for anybody to
look like they weren't supposed to be
here
soon know I get that but people who you
would have known how things are going
like this Tunisia where they showed up
at church with the two kids
the that would be kind of obvious oh
yeah sure but does she have like friends
or a certain family members no then
there would be kind of obvious so I had
I had my friends and my mom guided them
into the kids church and then my dad was
there a bunch of friends and other
family members were there and I had them
hide there until I asked chirp on the
slide on the for the presentation of our
I know announcements yeah so while I'm
doing praise and worship everybody is
like yeah I'm singing praising worship
I'm completely like God and everyone
apparently is speaking into chosen
church waiting for the moment and my
pastor actually yeah and it was cheering
laughs my festive actually asked if I
would do announcements that day and I
wasn't scheduled to do it out soon so
but I was like yeah sure why not
you know be helpful me willow that I
know that this is all been playing
months prior like yeah
two months before she must be yeah maybe
a London a fantastic job you know anyway
so this was like impeccable he says that
you sucks that planning but like you
guys have seat well yeah you guys I've
seen washed out of like date night ideas
also that's all him like he thinks he
said so he's really not that bad at
planning stuff like we've put on some
amazing days and you planned them really
well
oh yes that's how I kind of the process
behind the themes of zipper close though
as far as the ring guys that would be a
private conversation
you can't have that cue you know you
can't have that conversation publicly by
now that's between you and your jeweler
if you guys have any other questions for
us about the behind-the-scenes process
you friend Josh you guys have any other
questions about like what happened how
long it took or to plan like any
questions that you may have about the
process you know will help you if it's
private you know your girl watch follows
us to like DMS like on youtube or on
Instagram DMS or Facebook like so we'll
answer your questions privately like
disclaimer if you want the so I got her
ring from a very good and he has unique
style rings so if you don't want to go
out there walking around with something
that everybody else has on their finger
you can hit me up or message me and make
sure you leave either an email or
something that I can message you back
because I'm not gonna message you on
here your girl would too so if you do
want more evil like where I got it or
how much around I was spending or how
much I say for you can pass me and then
make sure you leave like an email or
something I can be in you and I can do
that legally he's not gonna tell me and
we do share are all the him/her as love
stuff we share so yes but I always
helping somebody else then it's yeah
we're here for you guys we want to help
you through all of this so seriously
guys if you're thinking about proposing
ask us wait he really will help you I'll
help you as best I can to like I'll tell
you that's romantic
or don't shoot guys please if you guys
have questions anybody you guys have
questions hit us up we got you yes make
sure that you subscribe to this video
and share it with all of your friends
and ask those questions we really are
here for you and we respond we do and
we'll see you next time
I can't think of anything but you
-------------------------------------------
1N1GHT - Like Never Before - Duration: 3:45.
Let me tell you something that's true
I never met somebody like you
Somebody like you Never before like you, ooh, ooh, ooh, ooh,
ooh Never before like you, ooh, ooh, ooh, ooh,
ooh Never before like you, yeah, you, yeah, ooh,
ooh Never before like you
Never before like you
Woah I can't believe I've been so free
Ever since we got together
We just look so well together It's been so long I'm glad you're home
So we can be with each other
Rather have it with no other No, ha-ooh
It's things I'd like to do to you They say we wouldn't last
But here we are at last Proving them wrong girl
Oh yeah-yeah
Let me tell you something that's true
I never met somebody like you
Somebody like you Never before like you, ooh, ooh, ooh, ooh,
ooh Never before like you, ooh, ooh, ooh, ooh,
ooh Never before like you, yeah, you, yeah, ooh,
ooh Never before like you
Never before like you
Yeah You're here in me, hold you closely
Ever since we got together
We just look so well together
I see everything we can be I'm here for you til' whenever
Hoping that it is forever No, ha-ooh
It's things I'd like to do, to you Let's talk about it
Come here closer now Ima hold it down
Girl ima hold it down just for you
Let me tell you something that's true
I never met somebody like you
Somebody like you Never before like you, ooh, ooh, ooh, ooh,
ooh Never before like you, ooh, ooh, ooh, ooh,
ooh Never before like you, yeah, you, yeah, ooh,
ooh Never before like you
Never before like you
Woah Like never before
Like never before Like never before
-------------------------------------------
'Oh My Gosh, I'm So Excited': Two Lucky Ladies Receive Gorgeous Ambush Makeovers | TODAY - Duration: 5:28.
For more infomation >> 'Oh My Gosh, I'm So Excited': Two Lucky Ladies Receive Gorgeous Ambush Makeovers | TODAY - Duration: 5:28. -------------------------------------------
Are you ready for the weekend? - Duration: 4:36.
For more infomation >> Are you ready for the weekend? - Duration: 4:36. -------------------------------------------
🔥Unbelievable Teen body Transformation - 19 year old motivational transformation - Skinny to Muscle - Duration: 6:06.
Music
Music
Music
Music
Music
-------------------------------------------
Biosecurity as an EA Cause Area - Duration: 29:37.
Today I'm going to talk to you about biosecurity as a cause area and how the Open Philanthropy
Project is thinking about it.
I think that this is a cause area that EAs have known about for a while, but haven't
dug into as deeply as some of the other things that have been talked about at this event
- like AI and farm animal welfare and global poverty - but I think it's important.
I think it's an area where EAs have a chance to make a huge difference, especially EAs
with a slightly different set of skills and interests than those required by some of the
other cause areas.
I would love to see more EAs engaging with biosecurity.
When I say biosecurity, I want to make sure we're clear on the problem that I'm talking
about.
I'm focusing on what we're calling Global Catastrophic Biological Risks at the Open
Philanthropy Project.
I'm going to talk to you about how we see that risk and where we see that risk - where
we think it might be coming from.
I'm going to talk to you about how I think EAs can make a difference in it.
Then I want to note that I'm not really focusing too much on the specific work that we've done
and that others have done.
I thought it would be more interesting for people to get a sense of what this area is
like and the strategic landscape as we see it before getting into the details of specific
organizations and people, so hopefully that's helpful for everyone.
I also want to note quickly that I think this is an area where a lot less thinking has been
done for a much shorter period of time, so to a greater extent everything should be viewed
as somewhat preliminary and uncertain.
We might be changing our minds in the near future.
The cause for concern when we think about global catastrophic biological risks is something
that could threaten the long term flourishing of human civilization, that could impair our
ability to have a really long, really big future full of joy and flourishing for many
different sentient beings.
That's kind of different from what you might think about biological risks that most people
talk about, which are often things like Ebola or Zika.
Ebola or Zika are unbelievably tragic for the people afflicted by them, but it doesn't
seem like the evidence suggests that they have a realistic chance of causing international
civilizational collapse and threatening our long-term future.
To take this further, we predict that we would need a really extremely big biological catastrophe
to threaten the long-term future.
We're really thinking about something that kills or severely impairs a greater proportion
of the entire human civilization than what happened in either of the world wars or in
the 1918 flu pandemic.
That kind of implies that we're thinking about fatalities that could range into the hundreds
of millions or even the billions.
There's a lot of really amazing work that could go into preventing smaller risks, but
that's not really what we've been focusing on so far.
It's not what I anticipate us focusing on in the future.
Overall, we're currently ranking the prevention of global catastrophic biological risks as
a high priority, although I think it's somewhat uncertain.
I think it's high priority to figure out more and then we might readjust our beliefs about
how much we should prioritize it.
So what are these risks even like?
We think the biggest risks are from biological agents that can be easily transmitted that
can be released in one area and spread, as opposed to something like Anthrax, which is
very terrible in the space that it's released, but it's hard to imagine it really coming
to afflict a large proportion human civilization.
Then within the space of infectious diseases, we're thinking about whether the most risky
type of attack would be something that happened naturally that just came out of an animal
reservoir, or something that was deliberately done by people with the intention of causing
this kind of destruction.
Or it might be the middle ground of something that might have been accidentally released
from a laboratory where people were doing research.
Our best guess right now is that deliberate biological attacks are the biggest risk.
Accidental risk somewhere in the middle, and natural risk is low.
I want to explain why that is because I think a lot of people would disagree with that.
Some of the reasons I'm skeptical of natural risks are that first of all, they've never
really happened before.
Humans have obviously never been caused to go extinct by a natural risk, otherwise we
would not be here talking.
It doesn't seem like human civilization has come close to the brink of collapse because
of a natural risk, especially in the recent past.
You can argue about some things like the Black Death, which certainly caused very severe
effects on civilization in certain areas in the past.
But this implies a fairly low base rate.
We should think in any given decade, there's a relatively low chance of some disease just
emerging that could have such a devastating impact.
Similarly, it seems like it rarely happens with nonhuman animals that a pathogen emerges
that causes them to go extinct.
I know there's one confirmed case in mammals.
I don't know of any others.
This scarcity of cases also implies that this isn't something that happens very frequently,
so in any given decade, we should probably start with a prior that there's a low probability
of a catastrophically bad natural pathogen occurring.
Also, we're in a much better situation than we were in the past and than animals are in
some ways, because we have advanced biomedical capabilities.
We can use these to create vaccines and therapeutics and address a lot of risks from different
pathogens that we could face.
Then finally, on kind of a different vein, people have argued that there's some selection
pressure against a naturally emerging highly virulent pathogen because when pathogens are
highly virulent, often their hosts die quickly and they try to rest before they die and they're
not out in society spreading it the way you might spread the cold, if you go to work when
you have the cold.
Now, before you become totally convinced about that, I think that there's some good countervailing
considerations to consider about humanity, that make it more likely that a natural risk
could occur now than in the past.
For example, humanity is much more globalized, so it might be the case that in the past there
were things that were potentially deadly for human civilization, but humans were so isolated
it didn't really spread and it wasn't a huge deal.
Now everything could spread pretty much around the globe.
Also, civilization might be more fragile than it used to be.
It's hard to know, but it might be the case that we're very interdependent.
We really depend on different parts of the world to produce different goods and perhaps
a local collapse could have implications for the rest of the globe that we don't yet understand.
Then there's another argument one can usually bring up, which is if you're so worried about
accidental or engineered deliberate attacks, there's also not very much evidence of those
being a big deal.
I would agree with this argument.
There haven't been very many deliberate biological weapon attacks in recent times.
There's not a strong precedent.
Nonetheless, our best guess right now is that natural risks are pretty unlikely to derail
human civilization.
When we think in more detail about where catastrophic biological attack risks come from, we can
consider the different potential actors.
I don't think that we've really come to a really strong view on this.
I do want to explain the different potential sources.
Some possible sources could be different states.
For example, in bio-weapons programs, states could develop pathogens as weapons that have
the potential to be destructive.
Small groups, such as terrorists or other extremists might be interested in developing
these sorts of capabilities.
Individuals who have an interest, people working in various sorts of labs: in academia, in
the government and on their own.
There are DIY biohacker communities that do different sorts of biological experimentation.
Those are the different groups that might contribute to catastrophic biological risk.
There are different kinds of pathogens and I think here - our thinking is even more preliminary
- we're especially worried about viral pathogens, because there's proven potential for high
transmissibilities and lethality among viruses.
They can move really fast.
They can spread really fast.
We have fewer effective countermeasures against them.
We don't have very good broad spectrum antivirals that are efficacious and that means that if
we had a novel viral pathogen, it's not the case that we have a huge portfolio of tools
that we can expect to be really helpful against it.
biosecurity 1
I've created this small chart that I think can help illustrate how we divide up these
risks.
On the top there's a dichotomy of whether the pathogen is more natural or more engineered
and then on the vertical axis a dichotomy of whether it emerged naturally (or accidentally)
or was a deliberate release.
The reason I'm flagging these quadrants is because I think there are two different ways
to increase the destructiveness of an attack.
One is to engineer the pathogen really highly, and the other is to optimize the actual attack
type.
For example, if you released a pathogen at a major airport, you would expect it to spread
more quickly than if you released it in a rural village.
Those are two different ways in which you can become more destructive, if you're interested
in doing that.
Hopefully you're not.
My current guess is that there's a lot more optimization space in engineering the actual
pathogen than in the release type.
There seems to be a bigger range, but we're not super confident about that.
biosecurity 2
Here's where the risk we see is coming from.
There are advances in gene editing technology, which is a really major source of risk.
I think that they've created a lot more room to tinker with biology in general to both
lower resources and lower levels of knowledge required and to a greater overall degree,
create novel pathogens that are different from what exists in nature, that you can understand
how they work.
This has amazing potential to do a lot of good but it also has potential to be misused.
It's becoming a lot cheaper to synthesize DNA and RNA, to get genetic material for different
pathogens.
This means that these capabilities are becoming more widely available, just because they're
cheaper.
Regulating them and verifying buyers is becoming a bigger proportion of the costs, which means
companies are more and more incentivized to stop regulating sales and verifying buyers.
Biotech capabilities are becoming more available around the world.
They're spreading to different areas, to new labs.
Again, this is mostly a sign of progress.
People are having access to technology, places in Asia and around the world are having large
groups of very talented scientists and that's really great for the most part, but it means
there are more potential sources of risk than there were in the past.
Then finally, all of those things are happening much faster than governments can possibly
hope to keep up and than norms can evolve, so that leads you to the situation where the
technology has outpaced our society and our means of dealing with risk, and that increases
the level of danger.
Now I'll contrast and compare biosecurity with AI alignment, because I think AI alignment
is something people are much more familiar with.
It might be helpful to draw attention to the differences, for getting people up to speed.
I think that overall, there's a smaller risk of a far future negative trajectory change
from biosecurity.
Overall it seems like a smaller risk to me.
biosecurity 3
With addressing biosecurity risk, there are fewer potential upsides.
With an AI, you can imagine that if it develops really well, it has this amazing potential
to increase human capabilities and cause human flourishing.
With biosecurity, we're basically hoping that just nothing happens.
The best outcome is just nothing.
No attacks occur.
No one dies.
Society progresses.
In the case of AI alignment, maybe somebody develops an aligned AI, which would be great.
But for biosecurity, we're really about preventing downside risks.
More of the risk here comes from people with actively bad intentions as opposed to people
with good intentions or people who are just interested in the research, especially if
you believe and you agree with me that deliberate attacks are the most likely source of concern.
In biosecurity more than AI, I think there are many more relevant actors on both sides,
as opposed to there being a few labs with a lot of capabilities in AI.
It could be the case that we end up with a situation in biosecurity where there are millions
of people that are capable of doing something that would be pretty destructive.
And also, we can unilaterally develop counter measures against their attacks.
There's less connection between the sources of the risk and the sources of the risk reduction.
They're more divorced from one another.
There's more possible actors on the sides of attack and defense.
I think that the way that The Open Philanthropy Project is seeing this field right now is
somewhat different from how most people are seeing it.
Most of the discussion in the field of biosecurity is focused on much smaller risks than the
ones that we're worried about.
I think discussion of things with greater than one million fatalities was kind of taboo
up until very recently.
It's been difficult for us to find people that are interested in working on that kind
of thing.
I think that part of the reason for that, is that it's been really hard to get funding
in the space, so people want to make sure their work seems really relevant.
And since small attacks and small outbreaks are more common, a good way to make your work
more relevant is to focus on those.
There's ongoing debate in the field about whether natural, deliberate or accidental
releases are the biggest risks.
I don't think people are synced up on what the answer to that question is.
I don't think everyone agrees with us that deliberate is mostly the thing to worry about.
Then people are really trying to walk this tightrope of regulating risky research while
not regulating productive research, maintaining national competitiveness, and encouraging
productive biotech R&D.
Given all of that, we have some goals in this space.
They're kind of early goals.
They won't be sufficient on their own.
They're mostly examples, but I think they could get us pretty far.
The first thing is we just really need to understand the relevant risks in particular.
I'm keeping it very high level for now, because there's not a lot of time, and partly because
I think that talking about some of these risks publicly is not a productive thing to do,
and also because we're pretty uncertain about them.
I think it would be really helpful to have some people dig into the individual risks.
Think about what one would need to do in order to pull off a really catastrophic bio attack.
How far out is that being a possibility?
What sorts of technological advancements would need to occur?
What sorts of resources would one need to be able to access in order to do that?
If we can answer these questions, we can have a sense of how big catastrophic biosecurity
risks are and how many actors we need to be worried about.
Understanding particular risks will help us prioritize things we can do to develop counter
measures.
We want to support people in organizations that increase the field's ability to respond
to global catastrophic biological risks.
The reason for that is that right now the field of biosecurity has lacked funding for
a long time.
A lot of people have left the field.
Young people are having a very difficult time going into the field.
Hopefully that's changing, but it's still a pretty dire situation, in my view.
We want to make sure that the field ends up high quality with lots of researchers that
care about the same risks we care about, so people that show signs of maybe moving in
that direction, we're very enthusiastic about supporting, in general.
Then finally, we want to develop medical counter measures for the things that we're worried
about.
We've started having our science advisors look into this.
We have some ideas about what the worst risks are and if we can develop counter measures
in advance and stockpile those, I think we would be much better prepared to address risks
when they come up.
Finally, I want to talk to you a little bit about what I think EAs can do to help.
I see a lot of potential value in bringing parts of the EA perspective to the field.
Right now there aren't a lot of EAs in biosecurity and I think that the EA perspective is kind
of special and has something special to offer people.
I think some of the really great things about it are, first of all, the familiarity with
the idea of astronomical waste and the value of the far future.
That seems like it's somewhat hard to understand.
It's a bit weird and counterintuitive and philosophical, but a lot of EAs find it compelling.
A lot of other people find it wacky or haven't really heard about it.
I think having more concern about that pool of value and those people in the future who
can't really speak for themselves could do the field of biosecurity a lot of good.
Another thing that I think is amazing about the EA perspective, is comfort with explicit
prioritization, the ability to say, "We really need to do X, Y, and Z.
A, B, and C are lower priority.
They'll help us less.
They're less tractable.
They're more crowded.
We should start with these other things."
I think right now, the field doesn't have a clear view about that.
There's not a very well thought out and developed road map to addressing these concerns.
I think EAs would be good at helping with that.
Finally, I think a lot of EAs have a skepticism with established methods and expertise.
That's great because I think that's necessary actually in almost every field.
Especially in fields that involve a complicated interplay of natural science and social science.
I think that there's a lot of room for things to be skewed in certain directions.
I haven't seen too much harmful skew, but guarding against it would be really helpful.
There's some work going on at the Future of Humanity Institute that we're very excited
about.
It seems like there's a lot of low hanging fruit right now.
There are a lot of projects that I think an EA could take on and they'd be pretty likely
to make progress.
I think biosecurity progress is more of a matter of pulling information together and
analyzing it, and less based only in pure insight.
I think that you should consider going into biosecurity if you are an EA concerned with
the far future, who wants to make sure that we all get to enjoy our amazing cosmic endowment,
and if you think that you might be a good fit for work in policy or in the biomedical
sciences.
This is an area where I think that a lot of safety might come from people not overhyping
certain sorts of possibilities as they emerge, at least until we develop counter measures.
It's important to have people that feel comfortable and are okay with the idea of doing a lot
of work and then not sharing it very widely and actually not making it totally open, because
that could actually be counterproductive and increase risk.
That's what I hope that people will be willing to do.
I hope that we find some EAs who want to move into this field.
If you feel like you're interested in moving into this field, I would encourage you to
reach out to me or grab me sometime at this conference and talk about both what you'd
like to do and what might be stopping you from doing it.
In the future we might write more about how we think people can get into this field and
be able to do helpful research, but we haven't really done that yet, so in the meantime,
I really hope that people reach out.
Thank you so much and I'll take your questions.
Okay, so we've got a number of questions that have come in and I'm just gonna try to rifle
through them and give you a chance to answer as many as we can.
You emphasized the risk of viral pathogens.
What about the, I think, more well known if not well understood problem of antibiotic
resistance?
Is that something that you're thinking about and how big of a concern is that for you?
Yeah.
I think that's a good question.
The Open Philanthropy Project has a report on antibiotic resistance that I encourage
you to read if you're curious about this topic.
I think it's a really big concern for dealing with conventional bacterial pathogens.
Our best guess is that it's not such a special concern for thinking about global catastrophic
biological risks, first of all, because there's already immense selection pressure on bacteria
to evolve some resistance to antibiotics, and while this mostly has really negative
implications, it has one positive implication, which is that, if there's an easy way to do
it, it's likely that it'll happen naturally first and not through a surprise attack by
a deliberate bad actor.
Then another reason that we're worried about viruses to a greater extent than bacteria
is because of their higher transmissibility and the greater difficulty we have disinfecting
things from viral pathogens.
So, I don't think that antibiotic resistance will be a big priority from the far-future
biosecurity perspective.
I think it's possible that we're completely wrong about this.
I'm very open to that possibility, and what I'm saying is pretty low confidence right
now.
Great.
Next question.
To what extent do small and large scale bio-risks look the same and to what extent do the counter
measures for those small and large scale risks look the same, such that you can collaborate
with people who have been more in the traditional focus area of the smaller scale risks?
That's an interesting question.
I think it's a complicated one and a simple answer won't answer it very well.
When I think about the large scale risks, they look pretty different for the most part
from conventional risks, mostly because they're highly engineered.
They're optimized for destructiveness.
They're not natural.
They're not something we're very familiar with, so that makes them unlikely to be things
that we have prepared responses to.
They're likely to be singularly able to overwhelm healthcare systems, even in developed countries,
which is not something that we have much experience with.
But the second part of the question about the degree to which efforts to address small
scale risks help with big scale risks and vice versa, I think that that's somewhat of
an open question for us and as we move towards prioritizing in the space, we'll have a better
view.
There's some actions that we can take.
For example, advocacy to get the government to take biosecurity more seriously might help
equally with both.
On the other hand, I think developing specific counter measures, if we move forward with
that, will be more likely to only help with large scale risks and be less useful with
small scale risks, although there are counter examples that I'm thinking of right now, so
that's definitely not an accurate blanket statement.
When you think about these sort of engineered attacks that could create the largest scale
risk, it seems like one thing that has sort of been on the side of good, at least for
now, is that it does take quite a bit of capital to spin up a lab and do this kind of bioengineering.
But, as you mentioned, stuff is becoming cheaper.
It's becoming more widely available.
How do you see that curve evolving over time?
Right now, how much capital do you think it takes to put a lab in place and start to do
this kind of bad work if you wanted to and how does that look five, ten, twenty years
out?
I don't think I want to say how much it takes right now, or exactly what I think it will
take in the future.
I think the costs are falling pretty quickly.
It depends on what ends up being necessary, so for example, the cost of DNA synthesis
is falling really rapidly.
It might be the case that that part is extremely cheap, but actually experimenting with a certain
pathogen that you think might have destructive capability - for example, testing it on animals
- might remain very expensive, and it doesn't seem like the costs of that part of a potential
destructive attack are falling nearly as quickly.
Overall, I think costs will continue to fall but I would guess that the falling plateaus
sometime in the next few decades.
Interesting.
Does biological enhancement fall within your project at all?
Have you spent time considering, for example, enhancing humans or working on gene editing
on humans and how that might be either beneficial or potentially destabilizing in its own way?
That's not something that we've really considered a part of our biosecurity program.
Fair enough.
How interested is Open Philanthropy Project in funding junior researchers in biosecurity
or biodefense?
And relatedly, which would you say is more valuable right now?
Are you looking more for people who have kind of a high level strategic capability or those
who are more in the weeds, as it were, of wet synthetic biology?
Yeah.
I think that right now we'd be excited about EAs that are interested in either, potentially,
depending on their goals in this field, the extent of the value alignment, and their dedication
and particular talents.
I think both are useful.
I expect that the kind of specialization, for example, either in policy or in biomedical
science will possibly be more helpful in the long term.
I'm hoping that we'll gain a lot of ground on the strategic high level aspects of it
in the next few years, but right now I think both are sorely needed.
Next question.
For someone whose education and skills have been focused on machine learning, how readily
can such a person contribute to the type of work that you're doing and what would that
look like if they wanted to get involved?
I don't know.
I've never seen anyone try.
I think that it would be possible because I think that there's a lot of possibility
of someone who has no special background in this area, in general, becoming really productive
and helpful within a relatively short time scale and I don't see machine learning background
as putting anyone at a particular disadvantage.
Probably it would put you at somewhat of an advantage, although I'm not sure how.
I think that right now, the best way to go would probably be just to get a Masters or
PhD in a related field and then try to move into one of the relevant organizations, or
try to directly work at one of the relevant organizations like our biggest grantee in
biosecurity, the Center for Health Security.
And for that, I think that probably having a background in machine learning would be
neither a strong drawback nor a huge benefit.
That's about all the time that we have for now, unfortunately.
But will you be at office hours after this?
I don't have office hours planned, actually, but feel free to grab me if you want to chat more.
Không có nhận xét nào:
Đăng nhận xét